Followers of Newcastle United are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's side as an inconsistent friend. On their day, they can be the ultimate entertainers, producing high-octane performances. But, on other occasions, previously reliable figures like their midfield linchpin and others completely fail to appear.
Compounding these problems is a second-half game management laced with a pronounced tendency of disorganization. Ahead of their Boxing Day to Manchester United, the numbers paint a concerning story: they have squandered thirteen vital Premier League leverage from winning positions this campaign and are without a clean sheet in ten consecutive matches in every tournament. Securing three points at Old Trafford would represent only their second domestic triumph on the road this season.
In contrast, a loss has been tasted once in their last 6 Premier League encounters, and although sitting in a modest eleventh position, they remain a mere six marks off the coveted Champions League places. Consider an upcoming two-part Carabao Cup semi-final against Manchester City and a reasonable opportunity of moving on to the Champions League last 16, and it is simpler to see the manager's cautious optimism.
“It's not only about problems,” said the club's manager. “You can see strengths also. I am firmly optimistic at present. I understand outside observers could have a different view, but my belief is we're getting better.”
The challenge is: will this squad recreate – or even exceed – the successes of last season's cup glory and European-qualifying standing? Juggling a congested schedule makes this difficult.
This heavy-leggedness could be the reason behind the inability to maintain a brilliant first-half performance against Chelsea, ultimately surrendering a 2-0 advantage to tie 2-2. Likewise, it could be the culprit for a lackluster display in a painful defeat to arch-rivals Sunderland, where the team appeared off the pace just days after a demanding Champions League away day.
While on-field instruction is undoubtedly the manager's strength, the relentless schedule of twice-weekly matches has radically limited valuable coaching hours. This impedes the team's stylistic adjustment to playing with summer signing Nick Woltemade up front, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. While hugely skilled, Woltemade does not possess the same electric counter-attacking pace or ferocious pressing.
Indeed, the team's once-formidable pressing game has sporadically malfunctioned. Injuries to crucial cog Joelinton have been a factor, while high-profile arrivals the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have found it tough settling after their big-money transfers.
If a change to a back three might theoretically benefit the team, a full-blown backline injury list renders that unlikely. First-choice defenders will be missing for the next key fixtures, straining the team's depth.
When playing at their ferocious best, they look almost unplayable. The issue is sustaining that fervor for the full 90 minutes. The often-seen plan B of dropping deep into a passive counter-attacking shape has at times been counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match became disorganized at 2-2,” admitted the manager. “However the intention was trying to win. Our mentality is to always try to win.”
What seems necessary is a pragmatic solution – involving better possession retention, a midfield capable of slowing the tempo, and a sensible readiness to sometimes settle for a point. However, a desire to compete on every fronts is testing limited player numbers to their limit.
This might sound heretical to some, but a more selective strategy in the domestic cups earlier could have alleviated the current schedule congestion. With critical European & Premier League matches on the horizon, the imperative to strategically prioritize is becoming increasingly apparent.
The manager recognized the scale of the task remaining. “Being at a club of this size, the pressures are immense. Every moment's pivotal. We have work to do in the Premier League. We're in the League Cup last four, we want to progress in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have a great deal of improvement to do to become the consistently successful side we aspire to be. Our capacity to put winning runs has deserted us so far.
“The challenge is to reach those levels we know we're capable of. I believe that the assurance to do that is growing. Yet nowadays we have to demonstrate it. It ain't all doom and gloom in this moment, but the upcoming fixtures will determine much.”
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